Don't look now, but Eldrick Woods is starting to find his game. Last week at the Deutsche Bank Championship, he closed with three straight rounds in the 60s. Coming into the BMW Championship this week at Cog Hill, Tiger needs a really good finish in order to survive the cut down to 30 and advance to the Tour Championship. I really don't want to put the old hornet hex on Tiger, but I have a feeling that he is going to bust out this week and advance to the Tour Championship. From the way he is talking, I don't think I'm the only one either.
Cog Hill and the BMW Championship have been owned by Tiger over the years. They might as well rename this thing the Tiger Championship, as he has five wins there since 1997. The course is a long one at over 7500 yards and features very long par 3's (all over 200 yards), some tough par 5's, and a signature finishing hole that demands a difficult shot over a pond. Distance off the tee and accuracy with long irons are necessary at Cog Hill, as is good judgement with several water hazards. With Tiger's resume at Cog Hill so spectacular, I very much like his chances to win this week and if not at least to advance to the Tour Championship. I just hope I don't jinx him.
All season, you could tell Tiger was not satisfied with the way he was playing. Last week something changed though. Tiger was smiling on the course, and when he was interviewed afterwards he spoke positively of the way he played. He is starting to hit the ball straight, land it close and make putts. If you couple that with the fact that Tiger has dominated this course in the past, I can't help but choose him to win this week. Other than Eldrick, let's see who else we got.
Camilo Villegas- The spider needs to move up a few spots from 33rd in order to move on to the Tour Championship next week, so he needs to play well at the BMW. With a win and two other top-10s at Cog Hill, look for Camilo to be on the war path.
Jim Furyk- Furyk has a win and eight other top-10s at the BMW, and needs to atone for his DQ from The Barclays. Win or lose, nobody likes him.
Steve Stricker- Stricker will be in the top-10. It's as consistent as gravity. Can't wait for this team to dominate.
Charley Hoffman- Hoffman tore it up at the Deutsche Bank so he has a chance this week, but the real reason I mention him is to highlight his uncanny resemblance to another Hoffman. Long lost twins?
Adam Scott- Adam Scott is a pretty boy, but he is playing well lately. He could take home a big win at Cog Hill.
J.B. Holmes- J.B. is out to make Corey Pavin regret not picking him for the Ryder Cup team. Look for a few 400 yard rips from J.B.
Please Tiger, prove me right this week. I can't bear to watch the Tour Championship if you are not in it. I think we are on the verge of something here, and Tiger Woods could just, strangely, shock the world this week.