Friday, January 31, 2014

Moose's Weekly Pick

The original Super Bowl Moose right there; Daryl Johnston.  Now that the harrowing Super Bowl bye week is over, let's get down to business.  We've got one of the most prolific offenses the NFL has ever seen versus one of the most athletic and intimidating defenses in recent memory.  What will happen when these two meet each other on the gridiron?  Irresistible force paradox type stuff.  This game has me perplexed, but let's take our customary deep dive and try to hash it out.  As always, there will be plenty of Simpsons references.

Denver (-2.5) versus Seattle: I am going to consider this a road game for both teams; as neither will have a clear crowd advantage, and obviously we are not in Denver or Seattle.  This hurts both teams since they were both #1 seeds in the playoffs, but hurts Seattle more than Denver.  Denver can get loud, but the aura of the 12th man in Seattle is a big boost for Seattle's high energy players (if you believe that kind of stuff).  Seattle feeds off of their crowd like Homer feeds off of the Evergreen Terrace crowd during a sidewalk sale.  ADVANTAGE: Denver





On offense it is clear the Denver has the advantage.  Peyton Manning set the record for touchdown passes in a season, and has a full arsenal of healthy weapons in Julius and Demaryus Thomas, Eric Decker, Knowshon Moreno, and Darth Helmet.  I know Seattle's defense is stingy, but that is a lot to ask of any defense to cover all those guys.  Moreover, Denver has performed very well against the good defenses that it played this season (Kansas City).  Seattle's offense has been hit or miss this season.  They put up big numbers earlier this year, but struggled against San Francisco and New Orleans in the playoffs.  If they can't run the ball against Denver, they will be in trouble.  Simply put, when they are healthy Denver has more firepower on offense than the Springfield Nuclear Plant softball team (side note: this is easily my greatest work of MS paint art yet). ADVANTAGE: Denver



On the defensive side of the ball, it is Seattle that has the clear advantage.  They have been the best defense in the NFL all year, have the best cover corners in the league, and can get pressure on the QB only rushing four linemen.  However, I am looking at a road game against Indianapolis as a barometer for Seattle.  Against nerdy voiced Luck on the road, the Seahawks defense got blown out to the tune of 30+ points.  Now dial that offense up a notch to Denver level.  Could be trouble.  Moreover, Denver's defense has really stepped up lately despite a rash of injuries.  Just playing devil's advocate on that side of the ball; Seattle clearly is the better defense.  ADVANTAGE: Seattle

I'll be honest and say I don't know much about either special teams unit.  Matt Prater is the Broncos kicker and I'll be damned if he doesn't hit every field goal, and kick the ball out of the end zone every time.  Both teams have turnover prone, yet dangerous return units.  I will give the slight advantage to Denver here.  ADVANTAGE: Denver

On paper it looks like Denver has an edge over the Seahawks, and the rationalist in me is predicting Denver to win.  I will say that a few things could favor Seattle though. One: John Fox is a Super Bowl loser.  As history and TPLIYP show, Super Bowl losing coaches have a tough time ever winning the big one again.  That being said, we know how few black QBs have won the Super Bowl as well.  I am just assuming Russell Wilson is black at this point.  I feel like it is a well guarded mystery.  Two: I love Seattle's attitude.  They build on big plays.  If they get on a roll early that could snowball into big things for them.  For all we know, their defense could totally shut Denver down.  Three: Though the Broncos defense has tightened up, they haven't had to face a mobile QB in a while.  That will be interesting to see. 

Taking everything into account, Moose is going to take the Broncos (-2.5) to win Super Bowl 48.  Make it my NO DOUBTER of the week.  Though I think the Broncos will win, you can bet your ass I will be rooting for the Seahawks.  12TH MAN!!!!!!  Wherever you are this weekend, grab some wings, dip some chips and enjoy the game.  This concludes another season of MWP.


LAST WEEK: 0-2
OVERALL: 118-124-6
NO DOUBTER: 11-7

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